DPWX/Thunderstorm cell initiations: 11 June 2015

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Author: Patrick C. Kennedy


11jun2015 2007 Zdr Z anot.png

CSU-CHILL 1.5 deg elevation angle PPI scan data through an area of heavy rain located just north of Loveland, Colorado. Solid white contours show the horizontal extent of the storm via the 35, 45, and 55 dBZ reflectivity levels. Positive differential reflectivity values typical of oblate raindrops are depicted by the color fill. Time lapse loops of the evolution this echo system have been prepared.


Contents

Overview

During the afternoon hours of 11 June 2015 several clusters of thunderstorms developed in the CSU-CHILL radar coverage area. One such cluster formed in the immediate vicinity of Loveland Colorado and produced locally flooding rainfall. The CSU-CHILL radar recorded data using continuous 1.5 deg elevation angle 360 surveillance scans with a repetition interval of ~1.6 minutes. This rapid update rate allowed the evolution of the Loveland area thunderstorm complex to be monitored in detail. As depicted in the following image, the low level convergence associated with a westward moving fine line was a significant factor in the initiation and intensification of the thunderstorm cells:

11jun2015 1936 fine line anot.png


The three cells of particular interest developed in a sequential east to west manner as the fine line propagated through the Loveland area. These cells are identified in the next plot:


11jun2015 1951 cell numbers anot.png


Reflectivity Loop

The evolution of the Loveland area thunderstorms is shown in the following image loop. The central cell (#2) intensified at a rate of ~10 dB per scan between 1939 and 1946 UTC (loop frame numbers 13 and 18).


Click play to begin animation

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Differential propagation phase loop

The next loop covers the later stages of the previously-shown reflectivity sequence when the three individual thunderstorm cells merged into a single east-west oriented echo system. This merged echo complex was aligned in a radial direction with respect to the CSU-CHILL radar. This orientation maximized the differential propagation phase shift between the H and V polarized waves as they traveled an ~15 km long path through heavy rain. (i.e., propagation through the high concentration of oblate rain drops retarded the received phase of the H polarized return signals relative to the V returns.)


Click play to begin animation

Delay: ms

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Specific propagation differential phase at 2007 UTC

The final plot shows the one-way Kdp values measured in the radially-aligned echo complex at 2007 UTC. Kdp is the range derivative of the phidp profile along the radar beams. The peak Kdp values of ~3 deg / km observed at a radar wavelength of 10 cm imply that rainfall rates of ~100 mm / hr were occurring. As is typical of thunderstorm precipitation, these intense rain rates were confined to a small area located between central Loveland (point marked as LVE CTY on the plot) and the Fort Collins - Loveland Airport (KFNL AP). (These two locations are ~8 km apart.) The NWS Boulder office issued a flash flood warning for this echo system. Volunteer observers in the Community Collaborative Rain Hail and Snow (CoCoRaHS) network reported 24 hour rain totals of ~2.0 to 2.5 inches in the Loveland area.

11jun2015 2006 Z Kdp anot.png